Investors have snapped up local bonds from Indonesia and Thailand, where benchmark rates had hovered around the record lows to which they were cut during the depths of the pandemic.The same happened with debt from India, where the central bank has delivered just one hike.皇冠手机管理端（www.hg9988.vip）是一个开放皇冠手机管理端即时比分、皇冠手机网址代理最新登录线路、皇冠手机网址会员最新登录线路、皇冠网址代理APP下载、皇冠网址会员APP下载、皇冠网址线路APP下载、皇冠网址电脑版下载、皇冠网址手机版下载的皇冠新现金网平台。
NEW YORK: As panic over inflation gives way to fears about a global recession, emerging-market investors are making a pivot too – they’re now favouring countries where interest rates are still low.
Investors have snapped up local bonds from Indonesia and Thailand, where benchmark rates had hovered around the record lows to which they were cut during the depths of the pandemic.
The same happened with debt from India, where the central bank has delivered just one hike.
That’s a reversal from the first months of the year, when low-yielding bonds were dumped in favour of debt from nations like Brazil and Chile, which led the world’s tightening cycle.,
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But with fears of recession superceding concerns about prices over the past weeks, even as inflation continues to spur pain from Sri Lanka to Argentina, having high interest rates is no longer seen as the benefit it once was. It could even be viewed as a drawback when low inflation and growth are at a premium.
“These countries will be in a better position to fight a global slowdown, but they are in this position because the rise of inflation in these Asian countries has lagged other countries in the first place,” said Sebastien Barbe, head of emerging market research at Credit Agricole CIB. “Countries with already high inflation a few months ago had less choice to keep rates low.”
Of course, while some countries will do well from investors’ emphasis on growth, others will look even weaker. There’s US$237bil (RM1.05 trillion) of emerging-market sovereign debt trading at distressed levels, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
And a high profile default by Sri Lanka has spurred concerns that more non-payments could follow. — Bloomberg